Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-16 0.463266 0.514894 0.570581 0.635219 0.708320 0.788583 0.883596
2025-03-23 0.383850 0.455365 0.538422 0.642491 0.770063 0.922193 1.118598
2025-03-30 0.331971 0.410848 0.506999 0.633756 0.797834 1.004906 1.288962
2025-04-06 0.296496 0.379630 0.485006 0.629814 0.825880 1.085330 1.460016
2025-04-13 0.260734 0.343180 0.451070 0.604489 0.820123 1.117050 1.565009
2025-04-20 0.242701 0.327787 0.442507 0.611000 0.856415 1.207536 1.760243
2025-04-27 0.227692 0.314752 0.435355 0.617794 0.892378 1.299437 1.966221
2025-05-04 0.214280 0.302548 0.427887 0.622704 0.924960 1.388149 2.175887
2025-05-11 0.201664 0.290293 0.419031 0.624202 0.951627 1.469191 2.381132
2025-05-18 0.192054 0.281603 0.414523 0.631524 0.987407 1.567223 2.625037
2025-05-25 0.178259 0.265511 0.397442 0.617326 0.986543 1.604103 2.765677
2025-06-01 0.171115 0.259096 0.394739 0.625799 1.023617 1.707959 3.038112
2025-06-08 0.160980 0.247471 0.383233 0.619234 1.035165 1.769794 3.242781
2025-06-15 0.154133 0.240644 0.378960 0.624475 1.067774 1.872563 3.539779
2025-06-22 0.145280 0.229925 0.367466 0.616151 1.074936 1.928545 3.749641
2025-06-29 0.138033 0.221379 0.358976 0.612324 1.089762 2.000056 4.000133
2025-07-06 0.127755 0.207111 0.339815 0.587796 1.063316 1.988342 4.070891
2025-07-13 0.123503 0.202851 0.337636 0.594103 1.096511 2.098363 4.423159
2025-07-20 0.119590 0.198919 0.335734 0.600683 1.130659 2.213543 4.802791
2025-07-27 0.115657 0.194705 0.333023 0.605439 1.161414 2.324530 5.188044
2025-08-03 0.111499 0.189839 0.328803 0.606890 1.185381 2.423169 5.557314
2025-08-10 0.108397 0.186692 0.327522 0.613980 1.221700 2.552636 6.022550
2025-08-17 0.102688 0.178469 0.316277 0.600230 1.212099 2.577232 6.220768